From 1.28.2009 Revised
Abstract: The Obama Phenomenon is all
about ‘change’ and
we wonder just what might change during his administration. I have researched
several metrics on education, IQ, crime, SAT scores and other
measurable quantities according to ethnicity. There are tables of
numbers on several topics below sorted for ethnicity. The question is thus
projected: will the Obama Phenomenon change any of these
metrics for the better? Will SAT scores increase or will crime go down? We
can measure the efficacy of these promises and see if they are just campaign
fluff uttered during the hysteria of political campaigns.
Introduction:
We are subject to a foggy and sticky
effluence of promises and grand-sounding social programs by our politicians
just before election time, most of which seem to eventually fail and many were
apparently never intended to work in the first place. The question
becomes, after an analysis of many of these promises: Are these just phony
promises to get votes or do the politicians really think they can change
society? Many people believe that Obama can produce substantive
change in minorities in particular. He is clearly their idol. We shall see.
Such promises have failed miserably in
the past. The Great Society was a great example of throwing money into the
latrines [1] like
the New Deal,[2] Fair
Deal,[3] Great
Society[4] and
host of failed programs like the Camp David Accords, HUD, War on Poverty, the
Panama Canal Treaties, Strategic Arms Limitation Talks (SALT II).[5] We
are promised much and receive little for our massive taxes. It seems
we can double spending on ‘education’ and watch SAT score
averages actually drop. With the new Obama administration, we can look at
precise metrics from the last decade or two and use them to compare the
outcomes for each category with what the Obama Era brings. We can measure
what he will accomplish.
Education and Intelligence Quotient
How did these educational programs from
1950 on ward work? Most of them failed in functional terms. The Great Society
tried to focus on education. President Johnson talked about this[6] and
spend billions and most of his programs eventually failed.
According to Joseph A. Califano the race riots[7] ended
the Johnson Great Society’s objectives as “he felt betrayed by the social
unrest.” Johnson asked the academic community for an answer as to why his
programs failed and Arthur Jensen of University of California at Berkeley assessed
the reason as being related to low cognitive skills of African-Americans. His
article: “How Much Can We Boost IQ and Scholastic Achievement?”[8] caused
a political fire storm and was instantly refuted by ignoring
and making excuses for the standardized test results. The data were re-investigated and reanalyzed at Harvard and further substantiated in The
Bell Curve: Intelligence and Class Structure in American Life ,
which was also ‘refuted’ with emotion and political action. The
attack on the authors was actually an attack on legitimacy of the testing data,
known well since 1905 and discussed in a book entitled The
Measurement Of Intelligence[9] by
Lewis M Terman. Nobody had questioned the facts about cognitive
differences among races until it became a hot political issue. Thus, the
refutation of hard scientific facts such as IQ testing now follows by strident
political mechanisms as we see in the phony Global Warming Follies[10] and
other political nostrums. If the truth from sound scientific data
violates some leftist political tenet then they must be lies
and some counter process is needed to ‘correct’ the political view. 21,000
scientists can take issue with Al Gore on global warming, which recently had to
be embarrassingly changed to ‘climate change, but he declares the matter
‘settled.’ His adventure is in the realm of global taxes—not science. He is the
new Lysenko.
Standardized tests generally show
differences among populations for suitability and compatibility with higher
education and certain success predictions on the job or career. After all,
lawyers and CEOs have the highest IQ scores, which correlate well with SAT scores
and Harvard, Yale and Stanford all have high minimum SAT scores
minimums for entry unless some affirmative action program is in force. If SAT scores
mean nothing then why does the Ivy League insist on recruiting students with
the highest scores?
SAT Ethnic Group Scores (Math/Verbal+total)
|
Race
|
SAT average
score
|
Ratio/White
|
|
Black
|
857
|
0.81
|
|
Hispanic
|
921
|
0.87
|
|
White
|
1063
|
1.00
|
|
Asian
American
|
1083
|
1.02
|
|
American
Indian
|
962
|
0.90
|
|
Puerto
Rican
|
905
|
0.85
|
Note that the 15% lower scores by blacks
and Hispanics correspond, roughly, to one standard deviation[11] as
was mentioned above by Jensen and Murray, authors of the Bell Curve. Will Obama
encourage the minorities to get better grades and do better in school? We would
then see parity with whites in SAT scores—would we not?
If it is true that the test scores are
lower because of racism and obtuse racial spending on education then we shall
see if they improve under the Obama Administration.
High School Dropout Rates:
We find that “almost half of all public high school students in
the US’ fifty largest cities fail to graduate”[12] and the difference between success and failure
at the suburbs [right next to these cities] is immense:
|
City Metro
Area
|
Grad Rate
in Suburbs
|
Grad Rate
in Cities
|
|
New
York
|
82.9
|
47.4
|
|
Cleveland
|
78.1
|
42.2
|
|
Philadelphia
|
82.4
|
49.2
|
|
Chicago
|
84.1
|
55.7
|
|
Los
Angeles
|
77.9
|
57.1
|
|
Atlanta
|
61.8
|
46.1
|
Note that the trend is everywhere. We
should expect to see places where blacks graduate at higher rates than whites
if there were no cognitive differences and if there were sufficient monies to
encourage education as in Washington, D. C. At a spending rate
nearly double the average for whites in America, the D. C. School System
is by far the worst in American. Barack Obama is not sending
his children to public schools there. Why is that if he believes in
education? There are essentially no examples of any school
district where about half the students are black and the others white and where
the blacks score significantly higher than whites in academics. We would expect
that to be the case in affluent black areas and we do not find that anywhere.
Crime:
Main street, as Obama calls it: We
all know that blacks and Hispanics form about ½ of the prison population and
there issues forth the usual excuses and such for their internment. It
is always based on racism. We don’t bother, as yet, to include tax-evading
illegal aliens, criminals who commit felonies, in this list as it would hit
16-18 million very quickly. It is interesting that our new
Vice-President cannot seem to answer the question posed to him by a constituent
about illegal aliens stealing Social Security numbers and criminality.[14] We
can count dead bodies in the inner cities, however, and we can show that most
of the murders in the US are drug-based and are black-on-black
felonies:
|
State/Territory
|
City
|
Population
|
Murders in 2007
|
Murder Rate [per 100,000]
|
|
Michigan
|
Detroit
|
1,900,303
|
600
|
48.3
|
|
New
York
|
New
York
|
8,115,690
|
539
|
6.6
|
|
California
|
Los
Angeles
|
3,871,077
|
489
|
12.6
|
|
Illinois
|
Chicago
|
2,873,441
|
448
|
15.6
|
|
Pennsylvania
|
Philadelphia
|
1,472,915
|
406
|
25.6
|
|
Texas
|
Houston
|
2,045,732
|
334
|
16.3
|
|
Arizona
|
Phoenix
|
1,466,296
|
220
|
15
|
|
Texas
|
Dallas
|
1,230,303
|
202
|
16.4
|
|
District
Of Columbia
|
Washington, DC
|
550,521
|
169
|
35.4
|
|
Louisiana
|
New
Orleans
|
431,153
|
162
|
37.6
|
|
Totals
|
|
23,957,431
|
3,569
|
14.90
|
|
Ref:
Murder in the Cities: The Triumph of Liberalism
|
||||
Notice that we have high crime levels
and very high high school drop out rates in the biggest cities, controlled by
liberals. Isn’t that interesting? Note that Obama’ city is 4th on
the list above.
Drug addiction:
From the 2006 chart, we can see that
African-Americans and Hispanics have a much higher proportion of their race and
ethnic identity in drug rehab programs.
Admissions to Publicly Funded Substance
Abuse Treatment Programs, 2006
|
|
|
Ref on Distribution: http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0110384.html 2005
numbers There are later revisions on these numbers.[15] Note
that more minorities by race are admitted to publicly funded substance abuse
programs than whites on a proportionality basis. By race, twice as many blacks
are admitted when compared to blacks.
A study from 1976 to 1996 on FBI arrest
records shows a similar trend.[16] This
ethnicity trend continues on to the prison population:
|
Ethnicity
|
Prisoners/100,000
|
Ratio/White
|
|
Black
males
|
3,138
|
7.2
|
|
Hispanic
males
|
1,259
|
2.9
|
|
White
males
|
481
|
-
|
Source: US Dept of Justice http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/bjs/prisons.htm
It is clear that blacks are doing the
vast majority of violent crime in the US.
Summary and Challenge:
We can go on and on and survey the
metrics of the vast differences among black and whites and other minorities in
the US, but now we have a chance to measure some progress. If
President Obama really has some positive changes to make in our society then he
can prove it with better metrics that are a direct result of his social
programs. If not, then we can just assume that whatever the programs that the
left improvise, the result will be failure. Such a failure will
destroy our society in the future as many will resist using their taxes to fund
a welfare state.
I originally viewed Barack Obama as
an idealist, then, with more evidence, an ideological racist, and an Afro-Leninist. [18] His
associates were poorly chosen like his mentor Frank Marshall Davis[19].
His work as an ‘organizer’ for ACORN is another example.[20] Then,
there is the fact that his radical views were
apparently refined by Saul Alinsky, and William Ayers[21][22] Then
you must add 20 years of training in Black Liberation Theology and naked hatred
for anything white by the obnoxious racist--[God Dam* America! Or ‘KKK
America’]--Jeremiah Wright. It is difficult to believe that Obama has
everybody’s interests at heart and wants to earn the respect of all with a
background like his, but I am willing to see how he proceeds and look for
progress.
His massive spending programs are full
of pork and things that smell like ear marks and contain a lot of fluff. If he
cannot stimulate the economy then he will fail and so will his party in the
2010 elections. He promised a middle class tax cut [so did Clinton] in his
campaign and promised no tax increases about the 250,000 income level.[23]So
far, it looks like he intends to raise taxes in the face of an impending
depression.
It will be interesting to see if he is
genuine or just some academic clown in a slick suit with big ears and an Alfred
E. Newman grin on his face. So far, he has taken great pains to grovel before
the Islamo-Fascists and appease the far left. He has to face the
general public soon and they will be expecting him to deliver on his promises.
I hope he can. I do not have faith in him, however.
The proof will be at hand fairly
soon………..
rycK
Comments: ryckki@gmail.com
[6] “We are going to assemble the best thought and
broadest knowledge from all over the world to find these answers. I intend to
establish working groups to prepare a series of conferences and meetings—on the
cities, on natural beauty, on the quality of education, and on other emerging
challenges. From these studies, we will begin to set our course toward the Great
Society.” LyndonJohnson-- University of Michigan in Ann
Arbor on May 22, 1964.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Society#Ann_Arbor_speech
[7] http://chnm.gmu.edu/courses/schrag/wiki/index.php?title=Great_Society in
a book: Joseph A. Califano, Jr., The
Triumph & Tragedy of Lyndon Johnson: The White House Years
(College Station:Texas A&M Press, 1999.
[8] http://74.125.47.132/search?q=cache:bVKvzTdZcvwJ:garfield.library.upenn.edu/classics1978/A1978FQ53600002.pdf+“How+Much+Can+We+Boost+IQ+and+Scholastic+Achievement%3F”&hl=en&ct=clnk&cd=1&gl=us
Abstract: Individual differences in
intelligence, as a
scientific construct, can be reliably
measured and indexed as IQ. IQ is the best
single predictor of scholastic
achievement, and has other occupationally, economically, and socially important
correlates. Individual variation in IQ is largely genetic, as shown by
heritability analysis of kinship data. Social class differences involve genetic
factors, and many lines of evidence suggest it is a reason- able hypothesis
that genetic factors may be strongly implicated in the one standard deviation average IQ difference between
whites and blacks.
Monday, January 28, 2008 10:46 AM
Friday, December 21, 2007 12:04 PM
[13] The
city-suburb split is also immense in such metropolitan centers as New York (47.4
percent vs. 82.9 percent),Cleveland (42.2 percent vs. 78.1 percent), Philadelphia (49.2
percent vs. 82.4 percent), Chicago (55.7 percent vs. 84.1 percent), Los
Angeles (57.1 percent vs. 77.9 percent), and Atlanta (46.1
percent vs. 61.8 percent
Thursday, May 17, 2007 3:48 PM
[16] http://74.125.47.132/search?q=cache:QPjN0i6gSwgJ:www.law.uchicago.edu/faculty/meares/resources/isb308084.pdf+crime+by+ethnicity&hl=en&ct=clnk&cd=1&gl=us
[17] “At year
end 2007 there were 3,138 black male sentenced prisoners per 100,000 black
males in the United States, compared to 1,259 Hispanic male sentenced
prisoners per 100,000 Hispanic males and 481 white male sentenced prisoners per
100,000 white males.” Source: US Dept of
Justice http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/bjs/prisons.htm
[18] The Rape of the Your Wealth: Obama and his
Illegal Aliens are set to Regulate and Redistribute All that you have.
[19] Obama, Communists, Tyre Pressures ,
Oil Non-Drilling and Other Follieshttp://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/08/07/obama,_communists,_tyre_pressures_,_oil_non-drilling_and_other_follies.thtml
[20] Potential Loopholes In The Phony Bailout:
ACORN May Be Out, But May Still Burden our Society with “Reasonable Loan
Modification
Requests.”
[23] From his servant’s voice: “"Read
my lips," Biden [this is the guy Plugs ed] said,
using Bush's famous phrase while referring to a Barack Obama administration.
"Nobody, nobody making less than $250,000 is going to see apenny of their taxes go up."[23]—Biden in
an incoherent rant at some county fairgrounds near the campus of OhioUniversity in Athens on Oct
15, 2008.
No comments:
Post a Comment